Project Management Professional PMP · Free Practice Question Easy
Question 164
You are the project manager of an IT project, and you are working with the team to calculate the project's contingency risk. There is a risk of hardware failure in the project. This risk has a 40 percent chance of happening each month, and the project is expected to last ten months. What is the probability that this risk event occurs during the project's fourth month?
- A Less than 1 percent
- B 80 percent
- C 60 percent
- D 40 percent
Reveal correct answer
Correct answer: D
Explanation
Read the question carefully. If there is a 40 percent chance in any one month, the fourth month's chance is also 40 percent. There is no calculation needed to answer this. This is a good example of how some questions can appear to be tricky, require calculation, or make you overthink the scenario. Not every question on the exam will be overly complicated, and easy questions like this can make you doubt yourself and cause you to guess at an answer or overthink the solution. All of the other answer choices are incorrect.Discussion
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